Según la IATA, en 2024 hubo 244 personas fallecidas a bordo en accidentes de aviación comercial. En 2025 la cifra subió a 394, un aumento de aproximadamente 61%. También aumentaron los accidentes fatales: de 7 en 2024 a 8 en 2025.
Pero hay un dato muy importante: el número total de accidentes disminuyó. En 2024 hubo 54 accidentes entre unos 37,9 millones de vuelos, mientras que en 2025 hubo 51 accidentes entre unos 38,7 millones de vuelos. Es decir, volar no se volvió globalmente más peligroso en términos de frecuencia de accidentes; algunos accidentes de 2025 fueron mucho más mortales.
¿Y Estados Unidos?
Aquí la comparación presidencial se vuelve todavía más complicada. El informe de IATA señala que Norteamérica pasó de 12 accidentes en 2024 a 16 en 2025, y el riesgo de fatalidad pasó de 0 en 2024 a 0,21 en 2025.
Por eso, si tu pregunta es “¿murió más gente en aviones durante el período de Trump que durante el período de Biden?”, la respuesta depende de qué fechas y qué tipo de aviación incluyamos.
Además, 2025 no puede compararse simplemente con toda la presidencia de Biden, porque Biden gobernó cuatro años (2021-2025) y Trump comenzó su actual mandato el 20 de enero de 2025. Para hacer una comparación políticamente seria habría que comparar, por ejemplo:
20 de enero–8 de septiembre de 2025
20 de enero–8 de septiembre de 2024
o períodos completos de un año.
Y también habría que decidir si contamos solamente aviación comercial, o también aviación privada, militar y vuelos pequeños.
En resumen: sí, 2025 tuvo muchas más muertes a bordo en accidentes de aviación comercial que 2024, pero eso por sí solo no demuestra que la seguridad aérea haya empeorado por un cambio de gobierno. La IATA destaca que, pese al aumento de víctimas, la tasa general de accidentes por vuelo mejoró en 2025.
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