No se puede negar que Japón intentó, durante gran parte de su historia reciente, extender su influencia mucho más allá de sus fronteras. Sin embargo, la geografía hizo casi imposible que Japón alcanzara alguna vez el estatus de “superpotencia”. Como un hombre terriblemente fuerte con brazos cortos y sin alcance que intenta convertirse en un boxeador campeón mundial, Japón estaba condenado desde el principio.
Por supuesto, esto no significa que los japoneses no lo intentaran. Porque seguro que lo hicieron. Hubo intentos de invasión de Corea, ya en el siglo XVII, que no terminaron muy bien para Japón. Se tomó Formosa (Taiwán) a finales de la década de 1890, lo que funcionó bastante bien durante un par de décadas.
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Luego vino la aventura de Manchuria. Sólo unos mordiscos en los lados de la pizza, sin atreverse nunca a tomar una o dos rebanadas muy gordas. No hasta que estalló la Segunda Guerra Mundial, claro está. Japón lo mató al principio y se apoderó de muchas tierras. Pero mordió mucho más de lo que podía masticar al atacar a Estados Unidos. Líneas de suministro inferiores, falta de hombres y combustible. Un asunto condenado al fracaso.
Económicamente, Japón prosperó después de la guerra. Sólo para llegar finalmente a un período de estancamiento a principios de la década de 1990 que todavía no ha terminado del todo en el momento en que escribo esta respuesta. Japón, como Brando en “On The Waterfront”, podría haber sido un contendiente… hoy en día a Japón no le está yendo tan mal, pero está lejos de ser una superpotencia. Se preparó durante décadas para apoderarse del mundo (dos veces) sólo para dispararse en el pie en ambas ocasiones.
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Capaz Japón aún pueda convertirse en una superpotencia. Si el mundo entra en guerra con Rusia por sus acciones en Europa, Japón podría hacerse con algunos recursos de su región.
Japan lacks the resources and lands to develop itself to become self sufficient, that’s why they sought to expand in to mainland east Asia by annexing Korea, China and the rest of south east Asia by creating a self sufficient empire relying less on foreign powers for strategic resources that would hinder their military expansion and capability.
In 1985, a very worried US (+G5 members) fearful of exactly a newly forming Japanese world superpower, forced Japan to appreciate the yen by a whopping 46% against the dollar, directly causing the economic bubble that eventually crashed the Japanese economy. Although the US probably did not intend for things to go that far, their move was a stroke of genius amounting to wildly successful economic sabotage. It wasn’t the only link in the chain, of course, but it definitely set the ball in motion, as the Japanese export market and GDP growth completely stalled after that, leading the authorities to issue massive macroeconomic stimulus which then led to the rapid rise in real estate prices and credit growth. Failing to mention this key piece of history shrouds the very reason of the economic bubble in mystery. The reasons in the video are not enough. For example, Japan didn’t need to invest in a military? But average military spending by country’s % of GDP are nearly all in the low single digits, or fractions of 1%. Furthermore, other countries with growing economies did not witness such a bubble for precisely the reason that their currencies weren’t forced to appreciate in value. This staggering blind spot in American historiography (at least amongst the lay public) of this aspect of the US’s role in Japan’s historical woes ranks almost as highly as the hubris that the dropping of the atomic bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki were “necessary” to end the war – when, in fact, we now know that US military intelligence was keenly aware that Imperial Japan had ran out of oil and was going to surrender anyway, but Truman and the US military rushed to use an atomic bomb before then simply in order to demonstrate US power to Stalin and thus scare off Soviet USSR which was, at the time, rapidly encroaching onto Western Europe (and would have expanded into northern Japan), hence striking the first blow in the subsequent US-USSR Cold War, even before the end of WW2.
Carecen de tierra, recursos y población para ser una superpotencia. Inglaterra (un estado insular aislado comparable) tenía restricciones similares, pero las compensó con la colonización y el comercio. En realidad, Japón sólo intentó colonizar dos veces, pero ambos esfuerzos fracasaron.
Japan has the 3rd largest economy by a fairly wide margin, and has enormous cultural influence as you mentioned. I think the main reason it isn’t a world power is because the Japanese don’t want it to be one, and generally aren’t very involved in foreign politics. The German economy is 1.2 trillion USD smaller GDP than Japanese economy, but Germany has much greater influence because it is the leader of a larger EU coalition. Its influence over foreign nations is what grants it a world power status. Similarly, Russia has a large amount of influence over countries in its region, so despite its relatively small economy, it has superpower status. If Japan assembled a coalition of other nations (eg. ASEAN nations), then it could be a world power.
Japanese culture and entertainment is made by japanese people to the japanese people. This is unlike the United States where food, music, movies etc have been made to be sold around the globe.When anime and all other japanese stuff started to become big, it wasn’t because the japanese producers wanted this, it is because western audiences found it themselves and started to share it amongst themselves. It’s more like comparing fetishizing to cultural imperialism. Japanese culture wasn’t meant for others to like because of their pretty heavy xenophobis. American culture on the other hand has been showed down peoples throats for decades.And to be clear, I am not condoning any of these ways. I think people should always enjoy whatever they want, be it some obscure Japanes drama or a high budget Hollywood movie.But I think this difference in mindset is also a big part of why Japan never became the great superpower of the pacific.
Let’s break it down: They failed to become the most powerful country on earth because the European countries got a head start, and by the time Japan could make up the difference and surpass them, which it did succeed at, the US was already firmly established and immense in scale, beyond Japan or any other non-continental sized countries ability to compete with. It was doomed to 2nd place at best status. It certainly may have gone on to dominate all east and southeast asia if it weren’t for the US, so in another world who knows how powerful Japan could have become. They were very hardcore as well, intending to spread the Japanese, language, ideals, and people across the region outside of the home islands, similar to how the English expanded into North America.
As Japan was becoming economically powerful and poise to takeover USA as No. One, Japan was heavily targeted with calls for dumping, calls to open up markets, restrictions, tariffs and had to sign Plaza Accord to ” correct trade balance”. This paved the way for Japan’s “Lost Decade” of sluggish growth and deflation. And after this lesson, Japan continues to grow the economy outside of Japan, developing in Southeast Asia, USA etc. to avoid being target again. Now could see similar China being targeted when having potential to overtake USA as economic superpower.
In my opinion is the biggest limiter on Japanese growth, and that’s the fact that they more or less ran out of living space, and the home islands are severely lacking in key resources that a major modern economy needs, and even the space to increase food. Relying almost entirely on imports from other sovereign nations does not make a superpower, even if trade links have secured a robust economy. Paying for Japan’s rapidly aging population is also going to limit their ability to advance into the new technologies needed to keep pushing the economy forward, potentially creating even more foreign reliance on matters such as utilizing ocean resources.
0ne of the main reasons why Imperial Japan surrendered was not entirely because of the Atomic bombs but also because Russia was taking advantage of the situation by using the opportunity to invade Japan too.
The basic needs (ALL must be fulfilled) to become a superpower nation: Having a large land mass that contain a lot of natural resources, Knowledge to processing those resources, Having a lot of population as your core basic market, and Having nuclear bombs.
I’m glad Japan’s still at least doing okay for itself, but yeah, Abenomics has resulted in a lot of bubbles and misallocation of resources and heavy demands on workers to meet high expectations; potentially one of the causes of their demographic baby bust and decline in marriages among youth.
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No se puede negar que Japón intentó, durante gran parte de su historia reciente, extender su influencia mucho más allá de sus fronteras. Sin embargo, la geografía hizo casi imposible que Japón alcanzara alguna vez el estatus de “superpotencia”. Como un hombre terriblemente fuerte con brazos cortos y sin alcance que intenta convertirse en un boxeador campeón mundial, Japón estaba condenado desde el principio.
Por supuesto, esto no significa que los japoneses no lo intentaran. Porque seguro que lo hicieron. Hubo intentos de invasión de Corea, ya en el siglo XVII, que no terminaron muy bien para Japón. Se tomó Formosa (Taiwán) a finales de la década de 1890, lo que funcionó bastante bien durante un par de décadas.
[smartslider3 slider=”90″]Luego vino la aventura de Manchuria. Sólo unos mordiscos en los lados de la pizza, sin atreverse nunca a tomar una o dos rebanadas muy gordas. No hasta que estalló la Segunda Guerra Mundial, claro está. Japón lo mató al principio y se apoderó de muchas tierras. Pero mordió mucho más de lo que podía masticar al atacar a Estados Unidos. Líneas de suministro inferiores, falta de hombres y combustible. Un asunto condenado al fracaso.
Económicamente, Japón prosperó después de la guerra. Sólo para llegar finalmente a un período de estancamiento a principios de la década de 1990 que todavía no ha terminado del todo en el momento en que escribo esta respuesta. Japón, como Brando en “On The Waterfront”, podría haber sido un contendiente… hoy en día a Japón no le está yendo tan mal, pero está lejos de ser una superpotencia. Se preparó durante décadas para apoderarse del mundo (dos veces) sólo para dispararse en el pie en ambas ocasiones.
PrisioneroEnArgentina.com
Mayo 1, 2024
Tags: Japón, Marlon Brando, TaiwanRelated Posts
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17 thoughts on “Ambición de superpotencia”
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Capaz Japón aún pueda convertirse en una superpotencia. Si el mundo entra en guerra con Rusia por sus acciones en Europa, Japón podría hacerse con algunos recursos de su región.
Japan lacks the resources and lands to develop itself to become self sufficient, that’s why they sought to expand in to mainland east Asia by annexing Korea, China and the rest of south east Asia by creating a self sufficient empire relying less on foreign powers for strategic resources that would hinder their military expansion and capability.
I think is not that bad. 3rd largest GDP after the US and China is pretty good.
Japan is smaller than Texas.
In 1985, a very worried US (+G5 members) fearful of exactly a newly forming Japanese world superpower, forced Japan to appreciate the yen by a whopping 46% against the dollar, directly causing the economic bubble that eventually crashed the Japanese economy. Although the US probably did not intend for things to go that far, their move was a stroke of genius amounting to wildly successful economic sabotage. It wasn’t the only link in the chain, of course, but it definitely set the ball in motion, as the Japanese export market and GDP growth completely stalled after that, leading the authorities to issue massive macroeconomic stimulus which then led to the rapid rise in real estate prices and credit growth. Failing to mention this key piece of history shrouds the very reason of the economic bubble in mystery. The reasons in the video are not enough. For example, Japan didn’t need to invest in a military? But average military spending by country’s % of GDP are nearly all in the low single digits, or fractions of 1%. Furthermore, other countries with growing economies did not witness such a bubble for precisely the reason that their currencies weren’t forced to appreciate in value. This staggering blind spot in American historiography (at least amongst the lay public) of this aspect of the US’s role in Japan’s historical woes ranks almost as highly as the hubris that the dropping of the atomic bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki were “necessary” to end the war – when, in fact, we now know that US military intelligence was keenly aware that Imperial Japan had ran out of oil and was going to surrender anyway, but Truman and the US military rushed to use an atomic bomb before then simply in order to demonstrate US power to Stalin and thus scare off Soviet USSR which was, at the time, rapidly encroaching onto Western Europe (and would have expanded into northern Japan), hence striking the first blow in the subsequent US-USSR Cold War, even before the end of WW2.
Carecen de tierra, recursos y población para ser una superpotencia. Inglaterra (un estado insular aislado comparable) tenía restricciones similares, pero las compensó con la colonización y el comercio. En realidad, Japón sólo intentó colonizar dos veces, pero ambos esfuerzos fracasaron.
Japan has the 3rd largest economy by a fairly wide margin, and has enormous cultural influence as you mentioned. I think the main reason it isn’t a world power is because the Japanese don’t want it to be one, and generally aren’t very involved in foreign politics. The German economy is 1.2 trillion USD smaller GDP than Japanese economy, but Germany has much greater influence because it is the leader of a larger EU coalition. Its influence over foreign nations is what grants it a world power status. Similarly, Russia has a large amount of influence over countries in its region, so despite its relatively small economy, it has superpower status. If Japan assembled a coalition of other nations (eg. ASEAN nations), then it could be a world power.
Japanese culture and entertainment is made by japanese people to the japanese people. This is unlike the United States where food, music, movies etc have been made to be sold around the globe.When anime and all other japanese stuff started to become big, it wasn’t because the japanese producers wanted this, it is because western audiences found it themselves and started to share it amongst themselves. It’s more like comparing fetishizing to cultural imperialism. Japanese culture wasn’t meant for others to like because of their pretty heavy xenophobis. American culture on the other hand has been showed down peoples throats for decades.And to be clear, I am not condoning any of these ways. I think people should always enjoy whatever they want, be it some obscure Japanes drama or a high budget Hollywood movie.But I think this difference in mindset is also a big part of why Japan never became the great superpower of the pacific.
Let’s break it down: They failed to become the most powerful country on earth because the European countries got a head start, and by the time Japan could make up the difference and surpass them, which it did succeed at, the US was already firmly established and immense in scale, beyond Japan or any other non-continental sized countries ability to compete with. It was doomed to 2nd place at best status. It certainly may have gone on to dominate all east and southeast asia if it weren’t for the US, so in another world who knows how powerful Japan could have become. They were very hardcore as well, intending to spread the Japanese, language, ideals, and people across the region outside of the home islands, similar to how the English expanded into North America.
As Japan was becoming economically powerful and poise to takeover USA as No. One, Japan was heavily targeted with calls for dumping, calls to open up markets, restrictions, tariffs and had to sign Plaza Accord to ” correct trade balance”. This paved the way for Japan’s “Lost Decade” of sluggish growth and deflation. And after this lesson, Japan continues to grow the economy outside of Japan, developing in Southeast Asia, USA etc. to avoid being target again. Now could see similar China being targeted when having potential to overtake USA as economic superpower.
In my opinion is the biggest limiter on Japanese growth, and that’s the fact that they more or less ran out of living space, and the home islands are severely lacking in key resources that a major modern economy needs, and even the space to increase food. Relying almost entirely on imports from other sovereign nations does not make a superpower, even if trade links have secured a robust economy. Paying for Japan’s rapidly aging population is also going to limit their ability to advance into the new technologies needed to keep pushing the economy forward, potentially creating even more foreign reliance on matters such as utilizing ocean resources.
0ne of the main reasons why Imperial Japan surrendered was not entirely because of the Atomic bombs but also because Russia was taking advantage of the situation by using the opportunity to invade Japan too.
The basic needs (ALL must be fulfilled) to become a superpower nation: Having a large land mass that contain a lot of natural resources, Knowledge to processing those resources, Having a lot of population as your core basic market, and Having nuclear bombs.
In term of economy, true, thwey are not. In term of culture, they can’t be compared.
I’m glad Japan’s still at least doing okay for itself, but yeah, Abenomics has resulted in a lot of bubbles and misallocation of resources and heavy demands on workers to meet high expectations; potentially one of the causes of their demographic baby bust and decline in marriages among youth.
Muy cierto. Excelente nota