Prácticamente por cualquier criterio, salvo la cantidad de cosas que el borracho Pete hizo explotar, ganaron la guerra.
Y descubrieron que poseen una herramienta increíblemente poderosa para prevenir futuros ataques: el control del Estrecho.
Demostraron que, a pesar de su armamento extremadamente costoso, Estados Unidos puede ser derrotado en una guerra asimétrica. Esta lección le costará muy caro a Estados Unidos en los próximos años.
Mientras escribo esto, Trump vuelve a su rutina de antes de la apertura de los mercados el lunes, anunciando que la paz está cerca. Irán NO ha confirmado que se haya alcanzado un acuerdo. Y parece que los términos que se están discutiendo son: (a) la retirada de Estados Unidos, (b) un pago a Irán para que reabra el Estrecho, posiblemente mediante el levantamiento de las sanciones, (c) la discusión sobre el programa nuclear se abordará más adelante y (d) el cese de todos los combates, incluso en el Líbano.
Se dice que Israel está furioso y en pánico.
¿Cómo se resolverá esto? No lo sé. Pero sí sé que lo que se está discutiendo deja claro que Irán tiene la ventaja, y Trump o lo sabe o simplemente está aburrido y quiere retirarse.
Dicho esto, discrepo con lo que considero tu último punto. Irán se beneficia de su capacidad, ahora demostrada, para desestabilizar la economía global cerrando el estrecho. Pero una vez hecho esto, no les reporta mucho beneficio que los precios del petróleo sigan altos. Si bien esto aumenta el valor de su propio petróleo, el levantamiento de las sanciones —incluidas las que afectan a su petróleo— sería una victoria mucho mayor.
A largo plazo, una lección que esta estúpida guerra ha enseñado a todos, excepto a Estados Unidos, es que la solución reside en las energías renovables. A medio plazo, es probable que esto haga bajar el precio del petróleo, ya que la demanda caerá rápidamente. Como exportador neto, esto perjudicará a Estados Unidos, al igual que la estúpida decisión del inepto Donald de intentar erradicar las energías renovables para complacer a sus donantes de la industria del petróleo y el gas, en lugar de convertir a Estados Unidos en líder en tecnologías como paneles solares, aerogeneradores, baterías y vehículos eléctricos.
Esta bien podría pasar a la historia como la guerra más estúpida en la que jamás se haya embarcado un presidente estadounidense.
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Prácticamente por cualquier criterio, salvo la cantidad de cosas que el borracho Pete hizo explotar, ganaron la guerra.
Y descubrieron que poseen una herramienta increíblemente poderosa para prevenir futuros ataques: el control del Estrecho.
Demostraron que, a pesar de su armamento extremadamente costoso, Estados Unidos puede ser derrotado en una guerra asimétrica. Esta lección le costará muy caro a Estados Unidos en los próximos años.
Se dice que Israel está furioso y en pánico.
¿Cómo se resolverá esto? No lo sé. Pero sí sé que lo que se está discutiendo deja claro que Irán tiene la ventaja, y Trump o lo sabe o simplemente está aburrido y quiere retirarse.
Dicho esto, discrepo con lo que considero tu último punto. Irán se beneficia de su capacidad, ahora demostrada, para desestabilizar la economía global cerrando el estrecho. Pero una vez hecho esto, no les reporta mucho beneficio que los precios del petróleo sigan altos. Si bien esto aumenta el valor de su propio petróleo, el levantamiento de las sanciones —incluidas las que afectan a su petróleo— sería una victoria mucho mayor.
A largo plazo, una lección que esta estúpida guerra ha enseñado a todos, excepto a Estados Unidos, es que la solución reside en las energías renovables. A medio plazo, es probable que esto haga bajar el precio del petróleo, ya que la demanda caerá rápidamente. Como exportador neto, esto perjudicará a Estados Unidos, al igual que la estúpida decisión del inepto Donald de intentar erradicar las energías renovables para complacer a sus donantes de la industria del petróleo y el gas, en lugar de convertir a Estados Unidos en líder en tecnologías como paneles solares, aerogeneradores, baterías y vehículos eléctricos.
Esta bien podría pasar a la historia como la guerra más estúpida en la que jamás se haya embarcado un presidente estadounidense.
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